NFL conference championship betting trends, angles, odds

With just a few days left until the NFL conference championship round kicks off, we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know about each matchup – including the most compelling betting trends for the Eagles, 49ers, Chiefs and Bengals.

This Sunday, Ohio sports betting will be in full swing, and state sportsbooks will no doubt be taking a deluge of bets on the Bengals.

Here are a few notable trends heading into this weekend’s championship games (with odds courtesy of BetMGM) and what they could mean for each team on Sunday:

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Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) vs. San Francisco 49ers, 3 p.m. Eastern

  • The Eagles are 7-3 against the spread as home favorites this season, which was the fourth-best record in the league. They’ve covered seven of 14 home playoff games since 2001, though they’ve won their last two conference championship games by a combined 48 points.
  • San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan is 7-1 ATS in the postseason and has been the third-most profitable coach in the postseason over the last two decades. Since he was hired in 2017, the 49ers are 29-19 ATS as an underdog, including 3-1 ATS as a playoff ‘dog.
  • Brock Purdy is 6-1 ATS since taking over as San Francisco’s starter and is just the second quarterback since the merger to win each of his first seven starts. Still, he faces a tough task on Sunday: only four rookies have ever started a conference championship game, and all four lost by at least nine points with a combined nine interceptions between them.
  • The 49ers have won 12 straight games with a 10-2 ATS record during that streak. Over the last 20 years, teams riding a double-digit win streak are 4-13 ATS in the playoffs, though two of those ATS wins have come in San Francisco’s last two games.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-1), 6:30 p.m. Eastern

  • Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has never been a playoff underdog, and he’s been a home underdog just once in 48 starts. He’s 7-1-1 ATS in his career as an underdog with six straight-up wins.
  • Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is 20-5 ATS in his last 25 starts and 32-16 ATS in his three-year career – making him the most profitable quarterback in the NFL since he was drafted in 2020. He’s also 5-1 ATS in the postseason and 3-0 ATS/SU in three career meetings with Mahomes and the Chiefs.
  • Kansas City coach Andy Reid is 19-17 ATS in his postseason career, including 6-3 ATS as an underdog. He’s just 4-5 ATS on conference championship weekend with a 1-0 ATS / 0-1 SU record as an underdog.
  • The Chiefs are just the 10th home underdog in the conference championship round since the playoffs expanded in 1990. The previous nine teams went 4-5 ATS, though the last team in that spot was the 2017 Eagles (+3), who beat the visiting Vikings by 31 points.