Jalen Hurts and the Eagles host Tom Brady and the Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football in Week 6. Sportsbooks opened this prime-time showdown with totals as high as 53 and the Buccaneers as 7.5-point favorites. While the total suggests a shootout — and the Bucs’ sieve-like pass defense supports that notion — don’t be surprised if Tampa eases up on Brady (thumb) a little bit and lean a little more heavily on the run. He’s still in our FanDuel single-game lineup, but he’s not our MVP. Instead, we’re relying on dual-threat Hurts to lead us to some DFS winnings.
If you need a reminder, here are the notable rules for FanDuel single-game contests: The point total for the “MVP” is multiplied by 1.5, but he doesn’t cost any additional money like the “Captain” in DraftKings Showdown contests. FanDuel’s default scoring is half-point PPR and four-point passing TDs, and there are no bonuses for 100/300-yard games like on DraftKings.
MORE FD SINGLE GAME: How to win a FanDuel single-game contest
FanDuel Single-Game DFS Picks: Buccaneers vs. Eagles
$60,000 budget, need at least one player from each team
MVP (1.5x points): QB Jalen Hurts, Eagles ($15,500)
Hurts has flirted with the 30-FanDuel-point plateau on a pair of occasions, and he could receive enough usage to do so once again. Not only do the Bucs boast one of the game’s top rush defenses, but the Eagles also call plays as if they’re allergic to the run game. Their 113 rushes is the sixth fewest in the league. Furthermore, Hurts’ 43 attempts marks 38.1 percent of the team’s total rushing game pie. If this is a spot that will call on him to carry even more of the load, both running and passing, he could rack up an MVP-worthy score on Thursday night.
MORE TNF: DK Showdown lineup | Start ’em, sit ’em | Goedert update
FLEX: QB Tom Brady, Buccaneers ($16,500)
We’re not shying away from Brady this week in spite of a thumb injury that figures to be a nuisance — at best — but we will temper our expectations by not making him MVP. There’s too much weaponry at Brady’s disposal to expect a dud, but it doesn’t take a vivid imagination to envision a scenario in which the coaching staff eases his offensive load. Brady finished with 37.74 FD points last week against the Dolphins and has flirted with the 30-point plateau on three other occasions. He’s certainly capable of doing so again — that’s why he remains in our lineup — but we’re just going to exercise a modicum of caution given his sore thumb.
WEEK 6 DFS LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuel | Yahoo
FLEX: RB Leonard Fournette, Buccaneers ($11,000)
Perhaps we’d exercise less restraint if the Bucs were playing on regular rest, but with them suiting up on a short week, there is an elevated likelihood of the coaching staff placing a higher emphasis on the run game. Fournette has been a big factor on the ground in recent weeks, totaling 100-plus yards in each of his past two games and accumulating 34.4 FD points over that stretch. He’s also handling a respectable volume of targets. Offenses have had success against the Eagles on the ground, and that trend could very well continue this week.
MORE WEEK 6 DFS: Best stacks | Best values | Lineup Builder
FLEX: RB Kenneth Gainwell, Eagles ($8,500)
Perhaps we’d exercise less restraint if the Bucs were playing on regular rest, but with them suiting up on a short week, there is an elevated likelihood of the coaching staff placing a higher emphasis on the run game. Fournette has been a big factor on the ground in recent weeks, totaling 100-plus yards in each of his last two games and accumulating 34.4 FD points over that stretch. He’s also handling a respectable volume of targets. Opposing teams have had success against the Eagles on the ground, and that trend could very well continue this week.
WEEK 6 FANTASY: Sleepers | Busts | Start ’em, sit ’em
FLEX: TE Zach Ertz, Eagles ($6,500)
Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert have combined for 25.7 percent of the Eagles targets this season. However, with Goedert likely to miss this week after being placed on the reserve/COVID list, Ertz may be asked to pick up some of the receiving slack. He was limited to a pair of targets in each of his first two contests before averaging seven in his past three. If the Bucs’ rugged front provides any extra incentive for the Eagles to eschew their run game, Ertz could be the recipient of a few extra targets.